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Information technologies will change our future in the next five years

15 July 2011

A discussion group session on the topic ‘Information Community as Generator of Innovations’ was held within the Ural International Exhibition and Forum Innoprom 2011. The question that the discussion group attempted to answer was ‘What key changes will occur in the society due to the impact of information technologies in the next five to seven years?’ Employees of large organisations professionally engaged in the promotion of high technologies in their companies and people monitoring the development of information technologies in the today’s society from the grassroots point of view acted as experts.

The experts expressed a whole range of different opinions regarding the information future of Russia; below are just a few of the scenarios described.

Telephone will transmit not only video, but also taste, smell and volume. This will be possible after the implementation of the 5G technology. First steps in this direction have already been made.

There will be a global market for trading virtual valuables which will shake up the foundations of the existing economy. It will be possible to sell virtual valuables which include application software and all kinds of addons to existing games endless number of times without any further material costs which just does not fit into our understanding of a usual market. This is why the perception of copyright will change in the nearest future. Of course we are not yet talking about its total abolishment but it will definitely cease to exist in the current format. Maybe it will be a temporary license for replication or something else. The share of advertising in the internet space will grow.

Professional expert networks should come to counterbalance social networks and the collective professional opinion will replace the collective opinion of amateurs. As soon as this happens, professional networks will have a massive influence on the real sector of economy as getting a free professional valuation of some goods or other will be very easy.

The day is close when reputation in the virtual world will be valued even more and seriously affect a person’s life. There will be resources recording reputation ratings. There also was a mention of the idea that today’s teenagers will never be able to become spies as the internet knows more about each one of them than they care to remember.

At last the personification of consumer and supplier will start happening with help of the internet and new technologies. This means you would be able to watch firsthand, stage by stage, the services or works rendered to you. Renovation of your apartment, for instance.

Sharing experience will be interactive. Each real sector of economy will have networks enabling sharing experience and skills in a given area. The training of the “collective mind” will be much faster and everyone will be able to monitor that which is of interest to him/her du to the nature of his/her work.

However, not everybody saw the picture of our nearest future as pretty as this. Elena Dyakova, a Member of the Public Chamber of the Russian Federation, the Head of the Working Group for the Development of Information Society in Russia pointed out that there is a high risk of breaking the continuity of generations. The older generation is already well behind young people in terms of being able to use all digital technologies. And the biggest thing they see in the future is the creation and mass production of simplified software and keyboards with just a few keys designed for old people and those who find mastering digital technologies difficult.

By the majority vote the experts approved several theses which will serve as the answer to the set discussion question. ‘What key changes will occur in the society due to the impact of information technologies in the next five to seven years?’ According to the experts’ opinion the following will occur in the nearest future:

change of perception of the copyright (ability to sell information many-many times cost-free)

there will arise the economy of reputations (systems of hubs and acceptors of reputations)

there will arise the economy of involvement

social professional networks

unified information society (“aging” of the internet, an increase of the average user age)

decreased digital inequality between the countryside and urban areas with remaining threat of breaking the continuity of generations

anticipation of the arrival of 5D technologies.


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